Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.291600 0.395318 0.510386 0.645198 0.796756 0.960106 1.147815
2025-04-20 0.163257 0.297933 0.467315 0.684123 0.944799 1.240598 1.594923
2025-04-27 0.107775 0.253418 0.454856 0.727798 1.068889 1.466628 1.952997
2025-05-04 0.079020 0.235023 0.468644 0.798821 1.222549 1.725542 2.348695
2025-05-11 0.052602 0.208883 0.464358 0.840752 1.335859 1.933032 2.681321
2025-05-18 0.028511 0.173893 0.439755 0.850234 1.404468 2.083922 2.944997
2025-05-25 0.007335 0.122205 0.377637 0.799722 1.389939 2.128770 3.078401
2025-06-01 0.000075 0.079976 0.318745 0.745426 1.364342 2.155354 3.185990
2025-06-08 NaN 0.055643 0.284617 0.723038 1.377956 2.228409 3.347798
2025-06-15 NaN 0.045077 0.276220 0.739454 1.444069 2.367770 3.590809
2025-06-22 NaN 0.031364 0.254363 0.730938 1.473330 2.458438 3.772584
2025-06-29 NaN 0.018484 0.226297 0.708162 1.479914 2.518060 3.914452
2025-07-06 NaN 0.015953 0.231954 0.748074 1.582640 2.710454 4.231628
2025-07-13 NaN 0.013696 0.237821 0.788977 1.688133 2.908353 4.558275
2025-07-20 NaN 0.012504 0.247334 0.836329 1.802919 3.118306 4.899834
2025-07-27 NaN 0.014522 0.271992 0.912544 1.961200 3.386649 5.315948
2025-08-03 NaN 0.013109 0.280157 0.957511 2.072785 3.592855 5.653472
2025-08-10 NaN 0.008718 0.270453 0.967657 2.131766 3.728662 5.901619
2025-08-17 NaN 0.002014 0.229778 0.913530 2.091307 3.729691 5.977160
2025-08-24 NaN NaN 0.190310 0.855222 2.040771 3.714635 6.030140
2025-08-31 NaN NaN 0.168868 0.831139 2.041276 3.767298 6.168478
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.166273 0.848799 2.107952 3.910879 6.424417
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.152824 0.839640 2.130799 3.993491 6.601026